Practical method for assessing the vulnerability of the agricultural production system to the effects of climate change in rainfed areas “MEVSPA-CC”

Abstract

 According to the literature, various methods have been used to assess vulnerability to the effectof climate change, few of them have addressed the degree of vulnerability of agricultural production systems to climate change effects. In this paper we propose a new method appropriate to the Evaluation of theVulnerability of an Agricultural Production System to the effects of Climate Change in rainfed areas noted « MEVSPA-CC ». This method refers to the concept of vulnerability to climate change as defined by the IPCC.This method builds on practical approaches and methods of climate change vulnerability assessment that have already been implemented in other contexts.This method consists of measuring the intensity of each component of vulnerability (sensitivity, exposure and adaptive capacity) of an agricultural production system based on the causal relationships between its internal and external factors (human, physical, financial, natural, economic, and social) and the potential effects of a climate event.